Guiomar Calvo, Alicia Valero and Antonio Valero, MEDEAS partners from CIRCE, have just published a scientific article in Resources, Conservation & Recycling, entitled "Assessing maximum production peak and resource availability of non-fuel mineral resources: Analyzing the influence of extractable global resources".
Using resources information obtained mainly from USGS data, the maximum production peak of 47 mineral commodities has been estimated. For two of them, the maximum theoretical production peak has already been reached, 12 could have theirs in the next 50 years and a total of 30 commodities could reach their maximum production peak in the next century. Many factors can influence these values, changes in future extraction trends, ore grade, exploration and new discoveries and more accurate data on resources. With this information the most crucial elements (i.e. those peaking soon) can be identified and be used to put more emphasis on policies regarding sustainable use of non-renewable commodities.
The complete article can be found here and an authorized author manuscript (AAM) will be available here.